据油价网9月13日报道，二叠纪盆地的石油产量预计将在下月创下历史新高，EIA预测10月份的产量为541.3万桶/日。
值得注意的是，美国本土48个州的所有油田预计都将在10月份增产或保持产量。
尽管美国石油总产量仍低于疫情前的纪录高位，但EIA认为明年产量可能会创下新高。
美国能源情报署（EIA）在其最新的钻井生产率报告中称，二叠纪盆地原油产量下月将达到创纪录高位，较9月增加6.6万桶/天，至541.3万桶/天。
EIA在其报告中还指出，从本月到下个月，美国本土48个州的石油总体日产量预计将增加13.2万桶，达到911.5万桶/日。10月份，所有油田的产量都会增加，没有一个油田会下降，只有海恩斯维尔的产量保持不变。
美国能源情报署的最新数据显示，美国石油总产量在6月份升至自2020年4月以来的最高水平，达到1180万桶/天。这仍低于疫情暴发前美国钻井公司达到的创纪录产量，但产量已从疫情崩溃中显著复苏。
石油公司仍对不惜任何代价的增长保持警惕，尤其是因为设备和工人短缺等持续的限制，以及通胀导致的成本上升。但根据数据显示，由于需求强劲，产出正在小幅上升，不仅是在美国，在国外也是如此。
然而，并非所有人都如此乐观：先锋自然资源公司（Pioneer Natural Resources）的斯科特•谢菲尔德（Scott Sheffield）上周表示，美国明年的石油产量增长可能会低于今年，令人失望。
据路透社上周报道，由于上述限制因素，先锋石油公司的首席执行官预测，美国石油产量今年将增加50万桶/天，但2023年的产量增幅可能会低于这一数字。EIA预计2023年日产量将增长80万桶。
根据该机构的预测，美国原油产量明年可能达到创纪录的1260万桶/天，超过2019年疫情前创下的1230万桶/天的纪录。
郝芬 译自 油价网
原文如下：
Permian Oil Production Is Set To Hit A Record High
Permian Basin oil production is projected to hit a record high next month, with the EIA forecasting October production of 5.413 million bpd
It is notable that all plays in the Lower 48 are expected to increase or maintain production in October.
While total U.S. oil production remains below the pre-pandemic record high, the EIA believes production could hit new highs next year.
Crude oil production in the Permian Basin is set to hit a record high next month, adding 66,000 bpd from September to 5.413 million bpd, the Energy Information Administration said in its latest Drilling Productivity Report.
Total oil production in the Lower 48 is seen adding 132,000 bpd from this month to next, to reach a total of 9.115 million bpd, the EIA also noted in its report. All plays will see additions in output in October and none will see a decline, with only Haynesville’s output rate remaining unchanged.
The latest factual data from the EIA shows U.S. total oil production rose to the highest since April 2020 in June, to 11.8 million bpd. That’s still below the record-high rate of production U.S. drillers had reached right before the pandemic struck but a significant recovery from the pandemic collapse in production.
Oil companies remain wary of growth at any cost, not least because of continuing constraints such as equipment and worker shortages and higher costs due to inflation. Yet the data suggests output is inching up in response to robust demand, not only in the U.S. but abroad as well.
Yet not everyone is so optimistic: Pioneer Natural Resources’ Scott Sheffield said last week that U.S. oil production growth next year is likely to disappoint by being lower than this year’s.
The chief executive of Pioneer has forecast that U.S. oil production will add half a million barrels per day this year but in 2023 the production gains may be lower than this, Reuters reported last week, because of the above-mentioned constraints. The EIA forecasts production growth of 800,000 bpd for 2023.
According to the authority’s forecast, U.S. crude oil production could hit a record high of 12.6 million bpd next year, beating its pre-pandemic record of 12.3 million bpd, set in 2019.
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