据油价网2022年9月19日报道,总部设在利雅得的联合石油数据库(JODI)周一公布的最新统计数据显示,今年7月全球石油日需求量大约减少110万桶。从历史上看,7月份的全球石油需求量通常会上升而不是下降。
根据汇集了许多国家自报数据的JODI公布的统计数据,需求下降的原因是印度、印度尼西亚、欧洲发达经济体和沙特阿拉伯的石油消费量下降。
总部位于利雅得的国际能源论坛(IEF)表示,7月份全球的石油需求下降与不包括2020-2021年疫情的5年平均7月的需求形成对比,显示需求以日均35万桶的季节性增长。
由于7月份需求下降,7月份全球产品库存增加6300万桶,是平均季节性增长的3倍多。全球7月份原油库存反季节增加900万桶。然而,JODI数据显示,全球原油和产品库存仍比5年平均水平低近4.38亿桶。
沙特阿拉伯7月份原油日需求量反季节下降19.2万桶,为今年2月以来首次出现月度下降。
国际能源署(IEA)上周在其备受关注的《石油市场报告》中表示:“受经合组织(OECD)经济持续放缓的拖累,全球石油需求增长继续放缓。”
IEA将其对今年全球石油需求日增长的预估比8月下调11万桶,目前预计今年全球石油日需求将增长200万桶。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下:
Global Oil Demand Dropped By Over 1 Million Bpd In July
Global oil demand fell by an estimated 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in July this year the latest data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) showed on Monday. Historically, global oil demand normally rises rather than falls in July.
The demand decline was driven by drops in consumption in India, Indonesia, developed European economies, and Saudi Arabia, according to JODI, which compiles self-reported data from many countries.
The July fall in demand is in contrast to the five-year average for the month of July, excluding the pandemic years of 2020-2021, which shows demand rising seasonally by an average of 350,000 bpd, the Riyadh-based International Energy Forum (IEF) said.
As a result of lower demand in July, global product inventories in July increased by 63 million barrels—more than three times the average seasonal increase. Crude inventories increased counter-seasonally by 9 million barrels. However, global crude and product inventories were still nearly 438 million barrels below the five-year average, the JODI data showed.
In Saudi Arabia, demand fell counter-seasonally by 192,000 bpd in July, which was the first monthly decline since February.
“Growth in global oil demand continues to decelerate, weighed down by renewed an ongoing slowdown in the OECD,” the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its closely watched Oil Market Report last week.
The IEA revised down its growth estimate for 2022 by 110,000 bpd from last month’s assessment and now expects global oil demand to grow by 2 million bpd this year.
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