据油价网2022年10月21日报道，由于预计全球石油需求增长将放缓，英国最大商业银行之一的巴克莱银行日前下调了其对今明两年布伦特原油价格的预期。
CN Wire援引巴克莱银行的消息报道，这家英国银行在8月份将布伦特原油价格预测从每桶111美元下调至每桶103美元，2022年和2023年则每桶下调了3美元，2023年每桶下调了5美元。
但巴克莱银行仍然对油价曲线和共识持建设性态度。
然而，巴克莱银行表示，如果2023年全球石油需求比预期每天低100万至200万桶，那么明年的油价预测将每桶下降15至25美元。
此外，报道援引巴克莱银行的话说：“尽管由于更广泛的经济放缓，流动性限制可能会放宽，但全球石油需求可能低于我们的预期。”
由于市场人士再次关注经济衰退可能减缓全球石油需求增长的担忧，油价周四收平，周五油价连续第二周下跌。
李峻 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
Barclays Cuts Oil Price Forecast Due To Slower Demand Growth
Barclays lowered on Friday its Brent Crude price forecast for this year and next due to expected slowing growth in oil demand.
The UK bank—which slashed in August its Brent oil price forecast to $103 per barrel for 2022 and 2023, down from $111 a barrel—is now cutting its Brent forecast by $3 per barrel for 2022 and by $5 a barrel for 2023, CN Wire reports, citing Barclays.
However, the bank remains constructive with respect to the curve and consensus of oil prices.
Yet, if 2023 global oil demand is 1-2 million barrels per day (bpd) lower than expected, there is a downside of between $15 and $25 per barrel in Barclays’ price forecast for next year, the bank said.
Moreover, “oil demand could undershoot our estimates despite a potential easing of mobility restrictions due to a broader slowdown,” the bank was quoted as saying.
Oil prices settled almost flat on Thursday as market participants focused again on fears of recessions that could slow oil demand, and were headed to a second consecutive weekly loss on Friday.
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