据OE网站11月17日报道，根据挪威国家统计局(SSB)周四的一项调查显示，随着更多的开发计划的制定，挪威油气公司上调了2022年和2023年的投资预期。
SSB表示，该国最大的商业部门目前预计2022年将投资1753亿挪威克朗（175亿美元），高于8月份预测的1728亿挪威克朗。并补充道，明年的投资预计为1497亿克朗，高于此前的1353亿克朗，但随着企业计划在今年年底前批准更多项目，这一数字预计还会增加。
只有当公司向当局提交开发和运营计划（PDO）时，调查中才会包括新海上油田的支出。预计到今年年底，石油公司将批准十几个新项目，届时挪威于2020年批准的支持海上投资的临时税收优惠政策将到期。
因此，SSB表示，2023年的预测可能会在2月份下一次更新数据时大幅增加。SSB在一份声明中表示，在那次调查中，还公布了2024年的第一次估计。考虑到所有这些发展，有理由预计2024年会有相对较高的初始估计。
并补充称，与前一次调查相比，2023年油田开发投资增加了12%，达到502亿克朗，这主要是由于某些油田的成本估算较高。勘探方面的预期支出大致不变。
成本上升、供应链瓶颈以及市场不确定性可能会使一些计划中的项目搁置。上周，Equinor推迟了是否开发北极威斯丁油田的决定，该油田将成为世界上位置最北的生产油田。
(1美元= 10.0200挪威克朗)
郝芬 译自 OE
原文如下：
Norway's Oil & Gas Firms Raise Investment Forecasts
Norway's oil and gas firms have raised their investment forecasts for 2022 and 2023 as more development plans are being made, a national statistics office (SSB) survey showed on Thursday.
The country's biggest business sector now expects to invest 175.3 billion Norwegian crowns ($17.50 billion) in 2022, up from a forecast of 172.8 billion made in August, the SSB said.
Next year's investments are seen at 149.7 billion crowns, up from a previous view of 135.3 billion, but the figure is expected to increase as companies plan to approve more projects by the end of this year, it added.
Spending on new offshore fields is only included in the survey when companies submit plans for development and operation (PDO) to the authorities. Oil companies are expected to approve more than a dozen new projects by the end of this year, when Norway's temporary tax incentives, which were approved in 2020 to support offshore investments, expire.
As a result, the estimate for 2023 will likely increase significantly when numbers are next updated in February, SSB said. "In that survey, the first estimate for 2024 is also published. With all these developments included already then, there is reason to expect a relatively high initial estimate for 2024," SSB said in a statement.
The investments in field development for 2023 rose by 12% to 50.2 billion crowns compared to the previous survey, mainly due to higher cost estimates at some fields, it added. Expected spending on exploration was broadly unchanged.
Rising costs and supply chain bottlenecks, as well as market uncertainty, could put some planned projects on hold. Last week, Equinor postponed a decision on whether to develop the Arctic Wisting oil discovery, which would have become the world's northernmost producing field.
($1 = 10.0200 Norwegian crowns)
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