据钻机地带4月14日报道,油价连续第四周上涨,受到全球市场趋紧迹象的支撑,IEA警告称,油价将进一步上涨。
西得克萨斯中质油(WTI)收于每桶82美元上方,创下6月以来最长单周涨幅。原油价格徘徊在五个月高点附近,此前欧佩克+宣布计划每日减产逾100万桶,令市场感到意外。美国库存下降、产能大国石油供应减弱,以及伊拉克库尔德地区石油管道供应中断,都推动了油价上涨。
市场正在消化本周对原油供应和需求喜忧参半的预测。IEA周五在其月度展望报告中表示,欧佩克+最新的减产可能会提振已经面临高通胀的消费者的油价。欧佩克此前一天曾预测,市场将严重供应不足。相比之下,EIA预计2023年和2024年的供大于求。
来自全球最大原油进口国的需求也在支撑油价。
关键技术指标也显示出市场趋紧的信号。按现货溢价计算,WTI现货价差(两份最近合约之间的价差)为每桶9美分。与一个月前16美分的期货溢价相比,这种看涨模式形成了鲜明的逆转。
价格
在纽约,5月份交割的WTI期货上涨了36美分,收于每桶82.52美元。
本周早些时候,美国基准油价触及每桶83.53美元,为去年11月中旬以来的最高盘中价格。
布伦特原油6月结算价上涨22美分,收于每桶86.31美元。
寿琳玲 编译自 钻机地带
原文如下:
Oil Edges Up Posting Fourth Weekly Gain
Oil rose for the fourth straight week, supported by signs of a tightening global market that have the International Energy Agency warning of higher prices ahead.
West Texas Intermediate settled above $82 a barrel, posting its longest run of weekly advances since June. Crude is hovering near five-month highs after OPEC+ surprised the market with plans to cut more than 1 million barrels of daily output. Declining US stockpiles, weaker flows from the largger producer and interruptions to pipeline supplies from Iraqi Kurdistan have added to the gains.
Markets are digesting a week of mixed projections for crude supply and demand. The latest OPEC+ cuts threaten to boost oil prices for consumers already facing high inflation, the IEA said in its monthly outlook on Friday. The cartel had forecast a day earlier that markets would be deeply undersupplied. In contrast, the US Energy Information Administration projected supplies surpassing demand both in 2023 and 2024.
Key technical measures are signaling a tighter market, too. WTI’s prompt spread — the difference between its two nearest contracts — was at 9 cents a barrel in backwardation. The bullish pattern is a stark reversal from when it was trading 16 cents in contango a month ago.
Prices:
WTI for May delivery rose 36 cents to settle at $82.52 a barrel in New York.
Earlier this week, the US benchmark touched $83.53 a barrel, the highest intraday price since mid-November.
Brent for June settlement advanced 22 cents to settle at $86.31 a barrel.
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