据油价网4月13日消息，西方石油公司首席执行官Vicki Hollub表示，二叠纪盆地的石油产量尚未达到峰值。
这位高管认为，二叠纪盆地石油产量的增长甚至可以抵消美国其他页岩盆地产量的下降。
根据美国能源信息署(EIA)的数据，二叠纪盆地本月的原油产量将从每天559.6万桶增加至562.2万桶，页岩区块的总产量预计为921.4万桶/天。
然而，正如路透社所指出的那样，尽管二叠纪盆地3月至4月的月度产量变化将使总产量达到历史新高，但这也将是自去年12月以来最小的月度增长。换句话说，产出可能在增长，但增长速度在放慢。
然而，如果价格继续攀升，这种情况可能会改变。据Hollub的同行先锋能源公司高管Scott Sheffield表示，油价很可能会大幅攀升。他在本周早些时候也曾说，如果油价突破每桶90美元，那么今年晚些时候就可能达到每桶100美元，然后在一段时间内保持在90至100美元区间。
Sheffield认为，未来价格上涨的主要原因是供应紧张。他在上个月的先锋能源公司财报电话会议上首次预测了这些价格水平，并在欧佩克+表示将进一步削减其116万桶的日产量后，于本周重申了这一预测。
与此同时，页岩地区的石油产量虽然可能增长缓慢，但从天然气价格走势可以看出，总产量正在上升。据路透社报道，本月早些时候，天然气价格跌至30个月来的最低水平，跌破2美元/百万英热单位。
报告称，天然气价格暴跌的原因在于页岩油产量的增加，导致伴生气产量激增。
ClearView Energy董事总经理Jacques Rousseau向路透社表示，“美国大约三分之一的天然气产量来自油井生产的伴生气。鉴于目前的油价，产量不太可能下降”。
何胜男 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
Permian Oil Production Hasn’t Peaked Yet
The Permian basin has not yet seen peak oil production, according to Occidental’s chief executive Vicki Hollub.
The executive believes that growth in the play’s production rates will even offset declines in other shale basins across the United States.
According to the Energy Information Administration, the Permian will produce 5.622 million bpd of crude oil this month, up from 5.596 million bpd. Total production from the shale patch is seen at 9.214 million bpd.
However, as Reuters noted, although the Permian’s monthly output change from March to April would bring total production to a record high, it would also be the smallest monthly increase since December. In other words, output may be growing, but the growth is slow.
This could change, however, if prices climb higher. According to Hollub’s fellow shale major executive Scott Sheffield, prices may well climb higher—significantly. If oil breaks $90 per barrel it could hit $100 later this year, Sheffield said earlier this week, and then stay in the range of $90-$100 for some time.
The main reason for the higher prices that Sheffield sees ahead is tight supply. He first forecast these price levels last month during Pioneer’s earnings call and reiterated it this week, after OPEC+ said it would cut an additional 1.16 million bpd from its combined output.
Meanwhile, oil output from the shale patch may be slow on the rise but it is rising, as suggested by natural gas price movements. Earlier this month, gas prices plunged to the lowest in 30 months, according to Reuters, dipping below $2 per mmBtu.
The reason for the plunge, according to the report, was rising shale oil production, which led to a surge in associated gas production.
"about a third of U.S. gas production is associated gas - produced from oil wells. This production is unlikely to decline given current oil prices," ClearView Energy managing director Jacques Rousseau told Reuters.
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