ChatGPT会影响油气行业就业吗?

据美国钻井网站2023年4月13日报道，毫无疑问，随着ChatGPT和人工智能的发展，它将影响石油和天然气行业的就业。

总部位于休斯敦的Piper-Morgan Search公司创始人兼总裁格拉德尼·B·达罗告诉美国钻井网站，ChatGPT将减少对油气行业人员数额的总体需求。

“要了解石油和天然气行业将会发生什么，你只需看看最近《纽约时报》的一篇文章，文章介绍了人工智能在超过27.5万例乳腺癌病例中的表现——人工智能软件与人类放射科医生在作为乳房X光扫描的第二阅读者时的表现相匹配。它还将放射科医生的工作量减少了至少30%，该技术还将癌症检出率提高了13%，因为人工智能发现了更多的恶性肿瘤。”

“这只是人工智能对医疗保健行业影响的开始。从这篇文章中推断，清楚地理解人工智能在医疗保健中的应用是石油和天然气行业的先导知识，并不是什么很大的逻辑飞跃。”

达罗继续说道：“事实是，在能源行业中，任何需要解释、测量或量化数据的事情，人工智能都将能够更准确、更快地完成所有这些工作——即使不是现在，但也很快，就在未来5到10年内。”

这位Piper-Morgan Search公司的创始人强调，他最近在美国钻井网站上发表了一篇文章，重点关注能源行业吸引足够多年轻人的能力，当时他评论说，石油和天然气行业总是会想出合适的激励措施来吸引新毕业生。

“我仍然相信这是真的。”达罗如是告诉美国钻井网站。

他补充说：“然而，随着人工智能的出现，在未来几年，油气以及其他行业雇佣拥有各层级经验劳动者的速度，都不会与过去历史一样。”

猎头公司Sanford Rose Associates旗下的子公司HireStrong LLC首席执行官兼技术招聘顾问约书亚·梅在接受美国钻井网站采访时表示，ChatGPT将影响油气行业各个层面和领域的工作。

他说：“我相信这也会影响石油和天然气行业的就业。”

“目前，ChatGPT主要用于为市场营销、招聘广告、标准操作程序等目的创建内容。你可以在ChatGPT中开始写任何东西。”达罗补充道。

达罗说：“然而，你需要知道你在做什么，以便事后检查提供的知识是否准确和清理不实信息。ChatGPT不会取代大量的工作(可能是一些)，而是让我们每天的工作更容易。”

梅强调，ChatGPT还可以帮助分析数据、创建公式和创建代码，并补充说，所有这些都“可以影响石油和天然气行业的就业”。  

他说：“阻碍ChatGPT在油气行业发展的唯一因素是油气行业的人员不采用这种技术。”

“有些技术需要数年的时间才能被采用(让我们面对现实吧，包括石油和天然气行业在内的许多公司仍然在使用2000年以前的过时系统)。因此，虽然采用这种新技术的动力可能会很慢，但现在采用这种技术的人将领先于竞争对手。”

OpenAI自称是美国一家人工智能研究和部署公司，其使命是确保人工通用智能造福全人类，这家公司在2022年11月30日推出了ChatGPT。

去年11月30日，OpenAI在其网站上发布了一份声明，称ChatGPT是InstructGPT的兄弟模型，后者经过训练可以在提示中遵循指令并提供详细的响应内容。

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下：

Will ChatGPT Affect Oil and Gas Jobs?

There is absolutely no question that ChatGPT, and artificial intelligence, generally speaking, as it evolves, will affect oil and gas jobs.

That’s what Gladney B. Darroh, the founder and president of Houston based Piper-Morgan Search, told Rigzone, adding that “it will reduce the overall need for people”.

“To understand what’s coming to oil and gas you need look no further than a recent New York Times article about A.I.’s performance in more than 275,000 breast cancer cases – ‘A.I. software matched the performance of human radiologists when acting as the second reader of mammography scans. It also cut down on radiologist’s workloads by at least 30 percent and the technology increased the cancer detection rate by 13 percent because more malignancies were found by A.I.,’” Darroh noted.

“This is just the beginning for A.I.’s impact in the health care industry. Extrapolating from this article, it is not any great leap of logic to understand clearly how A.I. application in health care is a precursor for the oil and gas industry,” he added.

“The fact is, anything in the energy industry that requires data to be interpreted, measured, or quantified, A.I. will be able to do all of it more accurately and much faster – if not now, soon, as in the next five to 10 years,” Darroh continued.

The Piper-Morgan Search founder highlighted that he recently contributed to a Rigzone article focusing on the ability of the energy industry to attract enough young people, and noted that, at the time, he commented that the oil and gas industry would always come up with the right mix of incentives to get new grads in the door.

“I still believe this is true,” he told Rigzone.

“However, with the advent of A.I., in the years ahead the oil and gas industry and many others will not to need to hire people of any experience level at the same historical rate,” he added.

Offering his view, Joshua May, the CEO and Technical Recruiting Consultant for HireStrong LLC, an affiliate of Sanford Rose Associates, told Rigzone that ChatGPT will affect all jobs.

“I believe it will affect oil and gas jobs as well,” he said.

“Primarily, right now, ChatGPT is great for creating content to release for marketing purposes, job ads, standard operating procedures, etc. Anything written you can get a great outline started within ChatGPT,” he added.

“However, you need knowledge of what you are doing to go through after the fact and clean it up. ChatGPT will not replace jobs wholesale (some, maybe) but instead make the work we do every day easier,” he continued.

ChatGPT can also help analyze data, create formulas, and create code, May highlighted, adding that all of this “can affect oil and gas”.

“The only thing holding ChatGPT back from the oil and gas industry is the people in the oil and gas industry not adopting the technology,” he said.

“Some technology takes years to adopt (and let’s face it, many companies, including oil and gas, still use antiquated systems from before 2000). So while there may be a slow drive to adopt this new technology, those who do it now will be ahead of their competitors,” May added.

OpenAI, which describes itself as an A.I. research and deployment company whose mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity, introduced ChatGPT on November 30, 2022.

In a statement posted on its website on November 30 last year, OpenAI said ChatGPT is a sibling model to InstructGPT, which is trained to follow an instruction in a prompt and provide a detailed response.