据彭博新闻社2023年7月3日报道，沙特阿拉伯将把其单方面削减原油产量协议延长一个月，在市场预计将趋紧之际限制供应。伦敦市场原油价格因此上涨2%。
根据沙特官方通讯社发表的一份声明，7月开始的日减100万桶原油产量——这是欧佩克+现有减产协议的补充——将持续到8月，并可能进一步延长。
此次额外减产将使沙特阿拉伯的原油日产量降至900万桶左右，为几年来的最低水平，这将牺牲销量，但迄今为止油价上涨带来的回报微乎其微。
需求低迷已将原油价格限制在每桶75美元附近，低于沙特阿拉伯支付预算所需的水平。在这种背景下，延长减产时间并不令人意外，接受彭博新闻社调查的几乎所有交易商和分析师都预测了这一结果。
业内人士曾普遍预计今年油价将上涨，但由于对利率攀升带来的经济实力的担忧，油价反而出现下跌。预计下半年供应仍将收紧，但包括高盛集团和摩根士丹利在内的华尔街预测机构已经放弃了原油价格重返每桶100美元的预期。
李峻 译自 彭博新闻社
原文如下：
Saudi Arabia extends unilateral oil-output cut into August
Saudi Arabia will prolong its unilateral oil production cut by one month, keeping a lid on supply even as the market is expected to tighten. Crude jumped 2 per cent in London.
The output reduction of 1 million barrels a day that started this month - which comes in addition to existing curbs agreed by OPEC+ - will continue into August and could be extended further, according to a statement published by state-run Saudi Press Agency.
The cuts will take the kingdom’s production to about 9 million barrels a day, the lowest level in several years, sacrificing sales volumes for what has so far been little reward in terms of higher prices.
Lackluster demand has capped crude near $75 a barrel, below the level Saudi Arabia needs to cover its budget. Against this backdrop, the extension was no surprise, with almost all traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg predicting this outcome.
Oil prices were widely expected to rally this year, but have instead sagged about due to fears about the strength of the economy as interest rates climb. Supply is still expected to tighten in the second half, but Wall Street forecasters including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley have abandoned projections for the return of $100-a-barrel crude.
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