当地时间7月24日周一早盘，油价下跌，西得克萨斯中质原油下跌0.70%，至76.53美元，布伦特原油下跌0.68%，至80.52美元
价格下跌是由于对美国和欧洲进一步加息的担忧
虽然加息将增加油价的下行压力，但许多分析师仍相信石油市场将收紧
据油价网7月24日报道，在上周上涨1.5%之后，布伦特原油本周开始下跌，西得克萨斯中质油上周也下跌了2%。
在美国和欧洲央行公布最新数据之前，股市下跌，因为交易员们在预估未来进一步加息的可能性。
路透社援引澳大利亚国民银行分析师的话认为，尽管本周美联储再次加息可能会推动一些短期价格波动，但我们预计欧佩克减产导致的市场紧缩以及市场对经济进一步刺激措施的猜测将在2023年第三季度继续推高价格。
“对美联储加息的预期可能会给市场带来一些压力，但这次加息应该已经在很大程度上反映在价格中”，荷兰国际集团(ING)大宗商品策略主管Warren Patterson告诉彭博社。
“最终，我们认为，鉴于基本面趋紧，油价将突破上行。然而，短期内在200日移动均线附近存在一些强劲的技术阻力。”
由于担心进一步加息以及加息可能导致经济衰退，许多石油交易商不愿购买这种石油大宗商品，尽管需求一直稳定而强劲，而供应一直受到限制。
正如Patterson所指出的那样，尽管基本面普遍看涨，但交易员仍不相信市场预期，而是在关注央行的公告。
彭博社今天早些时候报道称，预计美联储将在周二和周三举行的下次会议上宣布再次加息。该机构还暗示，今年晚些时候还会有更多加息。
从乐观的角度来看，路透社报道称，许多交易员期待政府出台刺激措施，以加快经济增长速度。这将提振本已强劲的石油需求，抵消经济衰退担忧的影响。
寿琳玲 译自 油价网
原文如下：
Oil Prices Slip Ahead Of Interest Rate Updates
Oil prices fell early on Monday morning, with WTI trading down 0.70% at $76.53 and Brent sinking 0.68% to $80.52.
The dip in prices was driven by concerns over further interest rate hikes in both the United States and Europe.
While interest rate hikes will add downward pressure to prices, plenty of analysts remain convinced oil markets will tighten.
After adding 1.5% last week, Brent crude started this week with a dip and so did WTI, which last week gained 2%.
The dip comes ahead of central bank updates due in the United States and Europe, as traders calculate the chances for more rate hikes down the road.
"While another Fed rate hike this week may drive some short-term price volatility, we expect tightening market conditions on OPEC's supply cuts and increasing market speculation of further stimulus in to continue to push prices higher through 3Q23," Reuters quoted analysts from National Australian Bank as saying.
Expectations of a Fed rate hike may be putting some pressure on the market but this hike should already be largely priced in,” Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING, told Bloomberg.
“Ultimately, we believe oil prices will break out to the upside given the tightening fundamentals.However, there is some strong technical resistance nearby in the short term, in the form of the 200-day moving average.”
Fears of more rate hikes and the possibility of a recession as a result of these hikes have held back many oil traders from buying the commodity even though demand has been stable and robust while supply has been constrained.
Despite these generally bullish fundamentals, as noted by ING’s Patterson, traders have remained unconvinced, watching central bank announcements instead.
Bloomberg reported earlier today that expectations are for another hike to be announced at the next Fed meeting, which is taking place on Tuesday and Wednesday. The outlet also suggested there would be more hikes later in the year.
On the bullish side, Reuters reported that many traders are looking forward to the governments of two economics introducing stimulus measures to accelerate the country’s growth rate. This would boost already strong oil demand , countering the effect of recession fears.
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