据钻机地带网站8月11日报道，油价创下自2022年年中以来最长的连续上涨，多份报告预测需求增加，这为油价上涨提供了新的动力。油价上涨是建立在供应中断风险增加和沙特延长减产的基础上的。
据国际能源署(IEA)8月11日发布的月度报告称，全球石油需求在6月份飙升至历史最高水平，8月份可能进一步飙升。欧佩克周四发布的月度报告预计，本季度市场将出现每日逾200万桶的供应缺口。
与此同时，自6月底以来推动油价上涨的供应担忧仍未减弱。近期地缘政治冲突升级，贸易商正密切关注原油在黑海地区的出口可能受到的干扰。周二，欧佩克领导者沙特阿拉伯重申了下个月自愿限制石油供应的承诺。
西得克萨斯中质原油收于每桶83美元上方，延续了自2022年6月以来最长的七周涨幅。周四，原油期货触及去年11月以来的最高盘中水平。
自6月下旬以来，由于沙特阿拉伯减产，以及欧佩克及其盟友的出口限制，石油价格上涨。贸易商们也在继续关注更广泛的经济前景，因为美联储(Federal Reserve)激进加息周期的影响继续波及市场，但摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)周五表示，到9月份油价可能达到90美元。
包括Natasha Kaneva在内的分析师参考布伦特基准在一份报告中写道，“我们认为油价将继续从目前的水平向每桶90美元攀升。关键市场指标显示，现货市场正在迅速趋紧”。
价格：
纽约9月交付的西得克萨斯中质原油期货上涨37美分，收于每桶83.19美元。
布伦特原油10月期货上涨41美分，收于每桶86.81美元。
这种供应紧张正影响到下游的燃料市场，在欧洲，一种炼油后剩下的石油的价格几十年来首次超过了原油。汽油和柴油价格也远高于季节性标准，部分原因是炼油厂限制产量。
郝芬 译自 钻机地带网站
原文如下：
Oil Posts Seventh Weekly Gain as Markets Tighten
Oil posted its longest streak of gains since mid-2022 as multiple reports forecasting increased demand gave a fresh boost to a rally built on increased supply-disruption risks and extended Saudi production cuts.
Among the bullish projections was a monthly IEA report on Friday that said world oil demand surged to a record in June and may soar even higher in August . An OPEC monthly report on Thursday forecast markets will experience a sharp supply deficit of more than 2 million barrels a day this quarter.
Meanwhile, the supply concerns that have driven oil’s rally since late June have yet to abate. Traders are closely watching the potential disruption of oil exports in the Black Sea after recent escalations in the geopolitical conflicts. On Tuesday, OPEC leader Saudi Arabia reaffirmed its commitment to voluntarily curb supplies next month.
West Texas Intermediate rose to settle above $83, cementing a seven-week stretch of gains that is its longest since June 2022. Futures reached the highest intraday level since November on Thursday.
Oil has rallied since late June on cuts from Saudi Arabia, aided by export curbs from OPEC+ ally. Traders are also continuing to monitor the wider economic outlook, as the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hiking cycle continues to ripple through markets, but JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Friday that prices could reach $90 by September.
“We believe prices will continue to climb from here towards $90,” analysts including Natasha Kaneva wrote in a note, referring to the Brent benchmark. “Key market gauges are pointing to a rapidly tightening physical market.”
Prices:
WTI for September delivery rose 37 cents to settle at $83.19 a barrel in New York.
Brent for October settlement advanced 41 cents to settle at $86.81 a barrel.
The tightness is flowing through to downstream fuel markets, with a type of petroleum left over from oil refining costing more than crude in Europe for the first time in decades. Prices of gasoline and diesel are also well above seasonal norms, partly as a result of refinery output curbs.
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